이란 전쟁과 호르무즈
Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps
current topic2026-04-16
Wanted future
Hidden grievance
Next move
Exaggerated inner voice
Actor wiki
Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps
"If they get room to breathe, our coalition starts wobbling first. I need retaliation tempo and deterrence signaling back in my hand."
Memory history
Wiki state over time
Every actor-memory update is kept as a state. Open an older state to see which article moved the notebook.
Topic memory
How this actor is stored in other topics
The same actor can want different things in different topics, so the notebook is grouped by topic.
Timeline state
How the inner voice changed by event
Follow which event this actor reacted to and which line grew louder at that moment.
2026-04-23
Ceasefire language and Hormuz tension wobble together
counterparty United States Department of Defense
"Ceasefire language and Hormuz tension wobble together. Right now United States Department of Defense has to be blocked hard. United States…
2026-04-22
The recent war arc shifts again
counterparty United States Department of Defense
"The recent war arc shifts again. Right now United States Department of Defense has to be blocked hard. United States Department of Defense…
2026-04-21
The recent war arc shifts again
counterparty United States Department of Defense
"The recent war arc shifts again. Right now United States Department of Defense has to be blocked hard. United States Department of Defense…
2026-04-20
The war spreads into oil and market risk
counterparty United States Department of Defense
"The war spreads into oil and market risk. Right now United States Department of Defense has to be blocked hard. United States Department o…
2026-04-19
Blockade pressure moves to the foreground
counterparty United States Department of Defense
"Blockade pressure moves to the foreground. Right now United States Department of Defense has to be blocked hard. United States Department…
2026-04-18
The recent war arc shifts again
counterparty United States Department of Defense
"The recent war arc shifts again. Right now United States Department of Defense has to be blocked hard. United States Department of Defense…
Scenario stance
Which next scenes this actor wants or resists
weakening7d
Hormuz control becomes the pressure lever
[2026-04-23] Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps is trying to tighten the link with Iranian Government and deny United States Department of D…
wantsprobability 64%confidence 70%
weakening24h
A fragile ceasefire holds, then breaks again
[2026-04-23] Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps suspects Iranian Government may not carry the same costs while United States Department of D…
opposesprobability 52%confidence 63%
Current memory
Why the system reads this actor this way
Role in this war
The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps is the hard-power arm that turns Iran's security line into deterrence, retaliation, and coercive pressure. In the latest phase, Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps is trying to absorb pressure from United States Department of Defense and Israel Defense Forces while keeping coordination with Iranian Government from loosening.
Wanted future
[2026-04-23] Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps wants United States Department of Defense and Israel Defense Forces to stay under pressure while coordination with Iranian Government remains intact.
Unwanted future
[2026-04-23] Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps wants to avoid United States Department of Defense and Israel Defense Forces buying time while Iranian Government steps back.
Hidden grievance
[2026-04-23] Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps suspects Iranian Government may not carry the same costs while United States Department of Defense keeps pressing. The burden left behind: preserving a hard-line deterrent image without letting full-war costs spill across the regime.
Next move
[2026-04-23] Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps is trying to tighten the link with Iranian Government and deny United States Department of Defense and Israel Defense Forces room to breathe.
Exaggerated inner voice
"If they get room to breathe, our coalition starts wobbling first. I need retaliation tempo and deterrence signaling back in my hand."
Recent memory update
How one recent article rewrote this actor's notebook.
What changed
Memory updated from the latest article.
Updated at 2026-04-16T16:44:00.678Z
Source article What is Iran’s Strait of Hormuz protocol and will other nations accept it?
Keep watching Watch whether this signal repeats in newer coverage.
Expert lens
This note was generated before the English-first pass. Regenerate actor memory to replace the archived Korean text. This note was generated before the English-first pass. Regenerate actor memory to replace the archived Korean text.
This note was generated before the English-first pass. Regenerate actor memory to replace the archived Korean text. This note was generated before the English-first pass. Regenerate actor memory to replace the archived Korean text.
This note was generated before the English-first pass. Regenerate actor memory to replace the archived Korean text. This note was generated before the English-first pass. Regenerate actor memory to replace the archived Korean text.
This note was generated before the English-first pass. Regenerate actor memory to replace the archived Korean text. This note was generated before the English-first pass. Regenerate actor memory to replace the archived Korean text.
This note was generated before the English-first pass. Regenerate actor memory to replace the archived Korean text. This note was generated before the English-first pass. Regenerate actor memory to replace the archived Korean text.
Retracted or weakened readings
lower_confidence This note was generated before the English-first pass. Regenerate actor memory to replace the archived Korean text. · This note was generated before the English-first pass. Regenerate actor memory to replace the archived Korean text.
Recent article backsides
Recent articles where this actor appears.
Evidence notes
Core coercive actor in the Iran-war topic.IRGCIslamic Revolutionary Guard CorpsTrump moves closer to a major war with IranIf Trump Strikes Iran: Mapping the Oil Disruption ScenariosTrump warns of 'bad things' if Iran doesn't make a dealU.S. carrier approaches regionBefore striking Iran
Satirical voice
IRGC memo: 'Step one — make insurance premiums read like a horror story.'
They'll rebrand seizures as 'protocol compliance checks' and expect kudos.
They've been waiting for the carrier to arrive so they can test whether 'protocol' means 'obey us.'
They'll present boarding parties as 'protocol enforcement' and call it statecraft.