반영 강도
94 / 100
actor memory와 scenario update에 비교적 강하게 반영해도 괜찮은 기사입니다.
기사의 뒷면
New wave of strikes hit Tehran as Netanyahu vows 'many surprises' for next phase of Iran war
PBS · 2026-03-07 14:50:46-04:00 · 이란 전쟁과 호르무즈
표면
기사에서 직접 보이는 장면
The Iran war exploded further late Saturday as pillars of flame rose above an oil storage facility in Tehran, and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu promised “many surprises” for the next phase of the week-old conflict.
DUBAI, United Arab Emirates (AP) — The Iran war exploded further late Saturday as pillars of flame rose above an oil storage facility in Tehran, and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu promised "many surprises" for the next phase of the week-old conflict.
Iranian state media confirmed the strike on the oil facility as Associated Press video showed the horizon glowing against the night sky. Israel's military confirmed new strikes that shook neighborhoods in Tehran's east and south but did not comment on targets.
It appeared to be the first time a civil industrial facility has been targeted in the war. State media blamed "an attack from the U.S. and the Zionist reg…
연결된 사건2026-03-07 | Benjamin Netanyahu → Iranian Government
이 기사를 얼마나 반영했는가
기사 하나를 그대로 믿지 않고, 출처 신뢰도와 기사 성격, 근거 밀도, 시각을 나눠서 world model 반영 강도를 정합니다.
기사 신뢰도
높음 · 82점
높음 신뢰도로 읽는 현장 기사입니다. 주로 외교정치, 인권·민간피해, 에너지·시장, 국제법·제재 시각이 강합니다.
기사 성격
현장 기사
근거 밀도 높음 · 교차 검증 강함 · 주장 위험도 낮음
외교정치인권·민간피해에너지·시장국제법·제재
출처 프로필 Unknown source의 기본 신뢰도와 취재 관행을 반영했습니다.
본문 확보 본문이 있어 기사 맥락과 근거 밀도를 더 직접 읽을 수 있습니다.
근거 밀도 본문이 길고 문맥이 충분해 핵심 주장과 제약을 더 안정적으로 읽을 수 있습니다.
정규 URL 정규 URL이 있어 중복 기사와 업데이트 기사를 비교하기 쉽습니다.
이 기사를 읽는 렌즈
같은 기사라도 어떤 lens로 보느냐에 따라 actor memory가 다르게 갱신됩니다.
세계정치
미국·이란·이스라엘·유럽·중국·러시아 사이의 판짜기와 명분 경쟁
누가 이번 국면에서 외교적 주도권을 잡거나 잃고 있나?
군사안보
공습, 억지, 보복, 해협 통제, 확전 비용
누가 지금 무엇으로 상대를 묶으려 하고, 어떤 군사적 비용을 두려워하나?
에너지·시장
호르무즈, 유가, 해운, 보험, 공급 충격
이 장면이 원유·운송·시장 심리에 어떤 압박을 주나?
동맹·외부파장
미국의 지원, 유럽의 부담, 아시아 수입국의 불안, 외부 블록의 계산
직접 교전국이 아닌 actor들은 누구를 믿고 누구를 원망하나?
서사전
누가 피해자·억지·정당방위의 서사를 장악하려 하는지
각 actor는 이번 사건을 어떤 말로 포장하고 싶어 하나?
이 기사가 건드린 속내
기사 표면 뒤에서, 연결된 actor들이 무엇을 바라거나 피하려 하는지 함께 읽습니다.
Actor
Benjamin Netanyahu
[2026-04-23] Benjamin Netanyahu is leveraging, hawkish. Watching Iranian Government closely.
바라는 미래
[2026-04-23] Netanyahu wants a failed ceasefire to lead into U.S.-backed strikes that keep Iran’s Strait of Hormuz defenses under direct pressure.
바라지 않는 미래
[2026-04-23] Netanyahu wants to prevent a ceasefire track that freezes U.S. military options and gives Iran time to keep its Hormuz deterrent intact.
숨은 불만
[2026-04-23] Netanyahu likely resents any U.S. impulse to make ceasefire management the headline when he wants Iran’s maritime threat treated as the real problem.
속 계산
[2026-04-23] Netanyahu is likely lining up arguments that Iran’s Strait of Hormuz defenses are a legitimate follow-on target so Washington keeps military leverage ready if talks break down.
과장된 속마음
[2026-04-23] If Washington is drawing up Hormuz plans, don’t let a neat ceasefire bury the chance to pin Iran’s sea leverage down.
Actor
Donald Trump
[2026-04-23] Donald Trump is accusatory, opportunistic. Watching Iranian Government closely.
바라는 미래
[2026-04-23] Donald Trump wants Iran to feel the clock is closing on it while Washington keeps the pace of war talks and pressure in its own hands.
바라지 않는 미래
[2026-04-23] Donald Trump wants to avoid Iran using delay to reset the fight while Washington looks hesitant or reactive.
숨은 불만
[2026-04-23] Donald Trump resents any setup where Iran gets to stall and sell patience as strength while he is pressed to look eager for peace.
속 계산
[2026-04-23] Donald Trump is likely trying to hold the pressure narrative long enough to force Tehran into either concessions or a visible mistake.
과장된 속마음
"Let them hear the clock. I decide when this moves, not Tehran."
Actor
Iranian Government
[2026-04-23] Iranian Government is defensive but defiant. Watching Israel Government closely.
바라는 미래
[2026-04-23] Iran wants the ceasefire to hold just enough to keep its Hormuz defenses intact and usable as coercive leverage in later bargaining with Washington.
바라지 않는 미래
[2026-04-23] Iran wants to avoid a ceasefire collapse that gives Washington a clean pretext to smash its Hormuz defense network and strip Tehran of maritime leverage.
숨은 불만
[2026-04-23] Tehran likely resents that Washington can present an attack on Iranian coastal defenses as ceasefire enforcement rather than as a campaign to erase Iran's only serious regional pressure point.
속 계산
[2026-04-23] Iran is likely lining up a narrower play: keep enough maritime threat visible to preserve deterrence, but avoid the kind of breach that would activate the U.S. plan against its coastal batteries and naval positions.
과장된 속마음
[2026-04-23] They are not just warning us now—they are drawing up the map to blind our throat-hold on Hormuz before we can cash it in.
Actor
Russia
[2026-04-23] Russia is opportunistic, watchful. Watching United States Government closely.
바라는 미래
[2026-04-23] Russia wants a phase where the U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict risks hardening into a longer war not to read as an advantage for United States Government.
바라지 않는 미래
[2026-04-23] Russia wants to avoid a phase where the U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict risks hardening into a longer war being interpreted mainly on Europe's terms.
숨은 불만
[2026-04-23] Russia feels that the longer Europe buys time, the longer it carries this burden: benefiting from distraction while still fearing uncontrollable escalation or wild energy volatility.
속 계산
[2026-04-23] Russia is trying to stretch the contest until timing around energy markets and anti-Western fractures becomes more favorable.
과장된 속마음
"If I cannot change this board now, Europe gets the pause and I lose room to use energy markets and anti-Western fractures."
Actor
China
[2026-04-23] China is anxious, urgent. Watching Iranian Government closely.
바라는 미래
[2026-04-23] China wants the ceasefire to hold in a way that keeps the Strait of Hormuz from becoming a U.S. weapon and keeps Iranian coordination intact.
바라지 않는 미래
[2026-04-23] China wants to avoid a failed ceasefire that lets the United States hit Hormuz defenses and seize the initiative over Gulf shipping.
숨은 불만
[2026-04-23] China resents that Washington can make Hormuz look like its own enforcement zone and set the terms of the story.
속 계산
[2026-04-23] China is likely to lean harder on quiet coordination with Tehran and warn against any step that gives the U.S. a clean strike pretext at Hormuz.
과장된 속마음
[2026-04-23] They want to turn Hormuz into their stage again.